
Analyst Nirgunan Tiruchelvam of Religare Capital Markets said emerging-market currency weakness after Trump's election win will boost soft commodities such as palm oil and rubber. Local-currency producers gain as dollar-priced commodities translate into higher domestic revenues.
The rupiah and ringgit both fell sharply against the dollar in the days after the vote.
Weaker producer currencies make palm oil more competitive and raise local-currency prices, supporting palm-based feed ingredient prices.
After 38 past bullish macro events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.5% to +3.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.