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Vegetable oil prices have risen around the world alongside crude, climbing about 19% over two weeks to roughly $55 per barrel equivalent. The rally followed OPEC's decision not to raise production.
Some analysis cited by the USDA sees oil topping $60 in early 2017.
Higher crude makes biofuel feedstocks such as soybean and palm oil more attractive, supporting vegetable oil prices. Ample RIN credits for compliance, however, limit how tight the biofuel-driven market can become.
biofuelsdigest.comMeghan SappDec 14, 2016After 28 past bullish macro events, Soybean Oil moved a median -1.2% over 5 sessions (32% higher; middle half -2.1% to +1.8%), and -2.3% over 20.
After 38 past bullish macro events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.5% to +3.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
