February Brent crude rose 8.8% to $82.7 a barrel since the prior Monday after a sharp price drop at the start of the month and a shutdown of a Canada-US oil pipeline. Chicago January soyoil rose 5.9% and Malaysian palm oil recovered after lower-than-expected Malaysian stocks in November.
Higher crude prices raise biodiesel and renewable diesel feedstock values, supporting vegetable oil prices, while stronger Indian import demand adds further support for palm and soy oil.
After 323 past bullish macro events, BRENT moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 28 past bullish macro events, SBO moved a median -1.2% over 5 sessions (32% higher; middle half -2.1% to +1.8%), and -2.3% over 20.
After 38 past bullish macro events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.5% to +3.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.