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Citi Research says Brent could rise above $60 this year if producers extend their output agreement through year-end. The report notes that the original OPEC-plus-non-OPEC cut was offset by higher output from rival producers, and that North American firms hedged production at higher prices.
An extension of the output deal would tighten crude balances and support energy costs, while failure to extend would keep prices pressured.
csis.orgFrank A. Verrastro, Adam SieminskiApr 12, 2017After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
