
The rand weakened to about 16.40 per dollar on September 28 as Brent crude rose toward $108 a barrel and gold fell more than 3% to about $4,150 an ounce. Expectations of further US rate increases also supported the dollar.
Higher crude and a weaker rand raise South Africa's import costs, and the stronger dollar tends to tighten global commodity financing, which pressures feed importers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.