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A global restocking of inventories is lifting demand for shipping, trucking and rail capacity, and oil prices have risen above $50 a barrel. Container flows are strong as consumers shift spending toward physical goods.
Stronger freight demand and higher oil prices raise transport costs for feed ingredients and fuel. The restocking also supports ocean freight rates.
spokesman.comAlaric Nightingale, Jeffrey Bair, Christian WienbergDec 23, 2020After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 105 past bullish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.8%), and +1.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
