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Diesel futures jumped about 5% to a near seven-month high, lifting the diesel crack spread to its highest since January 2023. Traders cited a fire at a Louisiana refinery, a drop in US oil rigs and worries about diesel shortages during refinery maintenance.
Oil futures rose about 1% to a one-week high.
A refinery outage combined with upcoming maintenance shutdowns tightens distillate supply, raising trucking and logistics costs for feed mills and grain movers. The bullish signal extends to crude as well.
reuters.comScott DisavinoAug 25, 2023After 105 past bullish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.8%), and +1.2% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
