
Benchmark crude prices, including Dubai, Brent and WTI, rose above $90 per barrel to seven-year highs, and analysts expected $100 oil soon. The won was also hovering near 1,200 per dollar, and both trends were seen weighing on the Korean economy.
Higher crude and a weaker won raise import prices, trade deficits and inflation in Korea, and they also lift energy and freight costs that flow into feed prices.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.