
The rand fell to a three-month low on Thursday as a firmer US dollar, higher global yields and oil supply concerns pressured emerging-market currencies. US GDP growth of 2.2% in the second quarter beat expectations and supported the dollar.
A stronger dollar and higher oil prices raise import costs for South African feed buyers and reflect tighter global financial conditions for emerging markets.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.