A Reuters survey found investors increasing bets that the Thai baht will weaken to its lowest level in nearly two months. The survey followed oil prices rising above $100 per barrel after an attack on Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline.
Investors also held a more negative view of most Asian emerging-market currencies amid higher US bond yields.
Expected baht weakness and a firmer dollar raise the cost of dollar-priced feed imports for Thailand. Higher oil prices also feed through to freight and energy costs for regional feed production.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.