The ringgit traded near 4.095 per US dollar, its strongest in over four months, helped by a cautious Fed and a firmer Brent crude price near US$61.80. Finance Minister Lim Guan Eng said Budget 2019 could be recalibrated if oil fell below US$50.
Firmer crude supports energy-linked currencies and Malaysian fiscal stability, with limited direct effect on feed commodity prices.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.