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Natural gas prices reached seasonal records as global demand grew faster than supply. In Europe, the TTF benchmark rose from about 20 EUR/MWh at the start of 2021 to over 100 EUR/MWh in early October.
Low European storage, weak wind output and drought-reduced hydro generation were cited as drivers, and the tightness was spilling into oil markets.
Expensive gas and power raise costs for nitrogen fertilizer and processing, and tighter energy markets lift substitute fuel prices. This supports higher energy-linked input costs for feed producers.
finance.yahoo.comCME GroupOct 22, 2021After 155 past bullish macro events, NATGAS moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, WTI moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
