
Natural gas prices are at seven-year highs in the U.S. and record highs in Europe and Asia, with cold winter weather still ahead. U.S. prices have risen two to three times above last year's levels, and European and Asian prices are reported to be several times higher.
Global gas price spikes raise energy and fertilizer costs for feed production and heating demand could tighten supply further in winter. The elevated cost environment supports higher feed input prices.
After 155 past bullish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 92 past bullish macro events, Urea moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.6%), and +4.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Soaring global natural gas prices raise nitrogen feedstock costs, raising urea production costs and price floors.