
Weekly urea prices in New Orleans rose almost 7% to their highest since May as an energy crunch in Europe pushed up natural gas, the main input. Europe's fertilizer industry closed or curtailed output at 10 plants in July as operating costs soared.
Gas-driven European output cuts tighten nitrogen supply, lifting urea prices and raising feed-grain production costs that flow through to corn and feed buyers.
After 92 past bullish macro events, UREA moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.6%), and +4.8% over 20.
After 155 past bullish macro events, NATGAS moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.