
Oil held steady as the market awaited OPEC+ talks moved to May 31, where members were expected to decide July output. Traders also weighed possible new US sanctions on Russia.
Pending OPEC+ supply increases and sanction risk point to uncertain energy costs, which affect feed transport and fertilizer production expenses.
After 54 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -2.8% to +2.5%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 102 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.5%), and +1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.