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Analysts from Rabbobank, Rystad and Kpler forecast Asian spot LNG averaging $9.50 to $9.90 per mmBtu in 2026. The forecast reflects a sizeable increase in global LNG supply expected during the year.
Abundant LNG supply should cap global gas prices and support demand, which lowers energy costs for feed and fertilizer production. Lower gas prices can ease pressure on nitrogen fertilizer costs over time.
After 59 past bearish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -5.0% to +5.2%), and -2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.