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Moody's expects global LNG prices to stay low beyond 2020 as new supply comes online while demand weakens in Japan and Korea. It projects global oversupply peaking at about 55 million tonnes a year in 2019, with new supply rising 44% by 2020.
A prolonged LNG glut keeps gas prices low, which weighs on natural gas and reduces the cost pressure on gas-linked fuel and fertilizer inputs.
After 59 past bearish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -5.0% to +5.2%), and -2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.