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A commentary piece argues China has overtaken OPEC+ as the main driver of oil prices. It notes that OPEC+ and allies shored up prices through production cuts that faded once reversal began, and that OPEC+ has chosen to hold output steady in the first quarter.
Shifts in who sets marginal oil supply change how crude price moves unfold, with knock-on effects on energy and input costs for feed buyers.
reuters.comClyde RussellJan 1, 2026After 54 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -2.8% to +2.5%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 102 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.5%), and +1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
