
The US dollar rose against the euro and yen on Monday as investors reconsidered bets on a slower pace of Fed rate hikes. Fed Governor Christopher Waller said one cooler inflation reading was not enough to show inflation was slowing, after the dollar index had fallen 4% the previous week.
A firmer dollar after a sharp weekly drop reduces the near-term support for dollar-priced grains and meal exports, and signals that currency-driven price swings in feed markets may continue.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.