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The euro fell sharply against sterling and the dollar as fears over the eurozone banking system grew. Shares of Credit Suisse, Societe Generale and several Italian banks were halted, and Italian two-year yields collapsed.
Expectations of fewer ECB rate hikes and a weaker euro shift currency flows that affect euro-denominated import costs for European feed buyers, while dollar strength tends to weigh on grain prices.
poundsterlinglive.comGary HowesMar 15, 2023After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Eurozone banking fears, trading halts in several bank shares and collapsing Italian yields drove sentiment-led euro selling on the same day.
