
The euro fell to its lowest level in two decades, hitting $1.0265 against the dollar as the dollar index gained 1.29%. Recession fears grew after the Sentix index plunged and euro zone inflation hit a record 8.6% in June.
Euro weakness combined with record inflation and a possible ECB rate hike path shapes European borrowing costs and currency-driven import prices for feed ingredients, with a firmer dollar supporting dollar-priced commodities.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 155 past bullish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Euro fell to $1.0265 on 2022-07-05 as the Sentix plunge and record 8.6% euro zone inflation fed recession fears and dollar strength.