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The euro fell to a 20-year low against the dollar as fears about the European economy weighed on the currency. The move coincided with stock declines, bond warning signals and sharply falling oil prices.
Broad risk-off moves across currencies, equities and oil signal weaker global demand, pressuring energy and commodity prices and making dollar-priced feed inputs relatively more expensive for non-US buyers.
nytimes.comIsabella SimonettiJul 5, 2022After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports the euro at a 20-year low on 2022-07-05 amid European economic worries and risk-off markets, which supports dollar demand.
Same-day euro 20-year low, stock declines and sharply falling oil show risk-off sentiment and a strong dollar pressuring crude.
