
The euro fell to $1.0405 on December 15, 2016, its lowest since January 2003, after the Federal Reserve raised rates by 0.25% and signalled three more hikes in 2017. The euro also slipped against sterling to 83.6p.
A stronger dollar makes US-priced grains, oilseeds and meals less competitive for importers using other currencies, which tends to weigh on US export demand and prices.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Euro fell to about $1.0405 after the Fed hiked and signalled three more hikes, the direct trigger for the one-day drop.
The euro fell to its lowest since 2003 on Dec 15 after the Fed's signal, contributing heavily to the broad dollar gain.