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The euro fell as much as 1.75% to its lowest level since late 2002 while the dollar index rose 1.6% at one point, the dollar's biggest one-day gain since March 2020. Safe-haven demand and a 17% jump in European and British natural gas prices drove the moves.
Rising European gas costs raise recession and inflation risk for the euro zone, pressuring the euro and supporting the dollar, which can affect dollar-denominated feed commodity prices and import costs for European buyers.
reuters.comHerbert LashJul 5, 2022After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Euro hit a two-decade low on 2022-07-05 as recession fears, safe-haven dollar demand and a 17% jump in European gas prices drove the sharp one-day decline.
