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The euro fell below $1.15 to its lowest level since late March as the Fed held rates but projected a possible hike by end-2026. Oil prices rebounded after Iran intensified attacks on Strait of Hormuz shipping, and French fiscal concerns weighed on the euro.
A stronger dollar makes US commodity exports cheaper for foreign buyers, which tends to pressure grain and meal prices. Renewed energy costs also feed into freight and fertilizer expenses for feed producers.
tradingeconomics.comJoana FerreiraJun 18, 2026After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Euro fell below $1.15 to a 2.5-month low on 2026-06-18 after the hawkish Fed hold, with oil and French fiscal worries adding pressure, directly matching the day's drop.
EUR, the largest weight in the broad index, fell to a 2.5-month low post-Fed, mechanically lifting the dollar index.
