The dollar rose to a 17-month high against the euro as a global bond selloff pushed US and European yields higher, with the US 10-year yield at its highest since 2002. The euro fell below $1.1215 for the first time since May 2025 and declined nearly 2.5% in September.
Higher oil prices fed inflation concerns, and French bond weakness added pressure.
A stronger dollar and higher US yields tend to weigh on dollar-priced grains and soybean products, while a weaker euro can make EU feed supplies cheaper to import. Higher energy costs also raise farm and freight expenses.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Dollar surged to a 17-month high as a global bond selloff lifted US yields to their highest since 2002, with the euro breaking below $1.1215 on 1 Oct, directly matching the one-day drop.