
Sterling neared a two-month low on June 8 as the dollar strengthened on expectations of US rate hikes and safe-haven demand. Oil prices jumped as much as 5% after Israeli strikes on an Iranian petrochemical plant.
Middle East escalation lifts oil and safe-haven demand for the dollar, pressuring sterling and raising energy costs for feed production and transport. The currency and energy channels both feed into imported ingredient prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.