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The rupee has lost nearly 3% against the dollar since the start of 2018, the second-largest loss among BRICS currencies after the ruble. Analysts attribute the decline to higher crude prices, a wider trade deficit and capital outflows.
ICRA expects the current account deficit to reach about 1.9% of GDP in FY2019.
A widening trade and current account deficit increases India's dollar demand, which keeps the rupee under pressure and raises the cost of dollar-priced imports such as oilseeds and feed ingredients.
qz.comSriya Iyer, Sriram IyerApr 18, 2018Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
