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The euro fell to about $1.135, its lowest since May 2025, as stalled talks over reopening the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil higher. ECB President Lagarde said recent inflation has not yet generated significant second-round effects, and inflation is above 3%.
Higher oil prices from Strait of Hormuz disruption raise energy and fertilizer costs for feed producers and support a stronger dollar that pressures dollar-priced commodities.
tradingeconomics.comJoana FerreiraSep 29, 2026After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
