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The euro fell to a four-week low against the dollar after US consumer prices rose 8.6% in May, the fastest pace since 1981. The data strengthened the case for multiple large Fed rate hikes this year, while the ECB was seen moving more gradually.
A widening rate gap favors the dollar, pressuring the euro and lifting the dollar index, which tends to make dollar-priced US feed and grain exports relatively more expensive for buyers in Europe.
economies.comRami HaddadJun 13, 2022After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
US May CPI at 8.6% raised expectations of aggressive Fed tightening versus a slower ECB, widening the rate differential and pushing the euro to a four-week low.
