AUD/USD is down for a fourth straight week after strong US data reduced expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts. The pair is on track for its worst month since September 2022 ahead of the US election and Australian CPI.
Firmer US rate expectations lift the dollar, which tends to pressure dollar-priced commodities and can shift export competitiveness between US and Australian grain.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.