
The Australian dollar slipped to a one-week low near 0.7120 against the USD on May 28 after softer jobs data and reduced RBA hike bets. Renewed US strikes on Iran and hawkish Fed expectations also supported the US dollar.
A firmer USD and weaker AUD make Australian grain and meal exports more competitive, while the Iran escalation keeps energy and freight costs elevated.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.