The Australian dollar dropped to about 0.69, an eleven-week low, as the US dollar strengthened on surging Treasury yields. Markets cut odds of another RBA hike in November after August inflation undershot forecasts, and the dollar index approached an 18-month high.
A stronger dollar index and elevated oil prices push up import costs for feed-importing countries and can weigh on US commodity export competitiveness.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 487 past bullish macro events, WTI moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.