
Sterling slid to near 1.3200 against the dollar on July 31, 2025, extending a six-day losing streak. Traders pared bets on Fed rate cuts after strong US GDP and ADP employment data, and the dollar index hovered near a two-month high around 100.00.
Reduced Fed easing bets support the dollar, which tends to weigh on dollar-priced grains and oilseeds, and softer Fed expectations can also dampen commodity investment flows.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.