
Analysts expected the dollar to stay in demand after the Fed brought forward its rate hike projections to 2023. EUR/USD dipped below 1.20, and the dollar index recorded its biggest one-day gain since March 2020.
Continued dollar strength after the Fed shift keeps dollar-priced feed commodities under pressure and can reduce US export competitiveness.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Fed brought forward its rate hike projections and the dollar index posted its biggest one-day gain since March 2020, a mechanism that pushed EUR/USD below 1.20.
Notes the dollar's biggest one-day gain since March 2020 after the Fed brought rate hike projections forward to 2023.