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The Fed left rates unchanged at its latest meeting but may raise them by a total of 75 basis points this year. The Fed's target range is 1.50-1.75%, well above the ECB's -0.4% deposit rate and the BoJ's -0.1% short-term rate.
A widening rate gap favors the dollar, which tends to pressure dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices and makes US exports relatively more expensive. A firmer dollar also weakens the euro and other currencies that buy US feed ingredients.
reuters.comSaikat ChatterjeeMay 3, 2018After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
