The dollar index reached a 20-year high against peers and is set for a third straight monthly gain, up 14% year to date. Investors expect the Federal Reserve to keep raising rates to fight inflation, while European energy prices weigh on the euro and sterling.
A persistently strong dollar makes US commodities more expensive for foreign buyers and tends to pressure grain and oilseed prices, while weaker European and Asian currencies raise the local cost of imported feed ingredients.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.