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Farm Futures analyst Bryce Knorr reviews how the Fed's June 75-basis-point hike hit grain markets, with soybeans down 3.2% and corn down 3.8% in the following week. Another hike of at least 75 basis points was expected at the July 27 meeting.
Wheat losses were larger, with HRW down 9%.
Rate hikes strengthen the dollar and pressure commodity prices, so further tightening could weigh on feed grain and soybean meal prices.
farmprogress.comBryce KnorrJul 25, 2022After 301 past bearish macro events, CORN moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, SOY moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 13 past bearish macro events, KWHEAT moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -3.3% to +3.1%), and -2.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
