
The dollar index rose 1.4% to 104.85, heading for its biggest one-day gain against major peers since March 2023, after Trump appeared set to win the US presidential election. The dollar also jumped over 3% against the Mexican peso and rose as much as 1.3% against the yuan offshore.
A stronger dollar on expectations of looser fiscal policy and higher yields makes US commodities pricier for foreign buyers and tends to pressure dollar-denominated grain prices. Currency moves in Mexico and China also affect demand from key feed importers.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly reports the dollar's biggest one-day gain since March 2023 on Trump's election win, matching the 11/6 broad dollar move.
Dollar index posted its biggest one-day gain since March 2023 and the dollar rose as much as 1.3% against the offshore yuan, matching the magnitude and timing of the move.
Trump's election win triggered the dollar's biggest one-day gain since March 2023 (index +1.4%), accounting for much of the 5-day move.
The dollar index posted its biggest one-day gain since March 2023 and the dollar rose as much as 1.3% against offshore yuan, directly accounting for much of the 1.87% move.