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The euro fell as much as 0.61% against the dollar to $1.086, a fresh 22-month low. The dollar index reached a 22-month high as investors weighed a potential US ban on Russian oil and gas imports.
Commodity currencies rose to multi-month highs as oil briefly spiked to multi-year peaks.
A possible Russian energy import ban would tighten global oil and gas supply, raising energy and fertilizer costs that feed through to animal feed production, while a stronger dollar pressures US-priced commodity values.
cnbc.comReutersMar 7, 2022After 36 past bearish geopolitics events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -1.8% to -0.3%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Euro hit a fresh 22-month low of $1.086 on 2022-03-07 as war-driven inflation fears and a possible US ban on Russian oil lifted the dollar, directly driving the end of the 5-day move.
On March 7 the dollar index hit a 22-month high and the euro fell to a fresh low on fears of an oil/gas ban, adding to the final-day gain.
