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US equity futures fell alongside the euro on Monday as the safe-haven dollar and yen gained amid Ukraine risks. The Russian rouble indicated as much as 25% weaker at a record low near 112 per dollar.
Escalating Russia-Ukraine tensions boost safe-haven demand and risk premia in grains, oilseeds and energy, while a collapsing rouble signals sanctions pressure on Russian exports.
reuters.comKevin BucklandFeb 28, 2022After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 464 past geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.5%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
