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Russia's war in Ukraine has pushed grain prices sharply higher, benefiting Argentina's soybean sector. Argentina is the world's largest exporter of soybean meal and oil, and the sector expects record export sales of $23.7 billion this year despite a 10% smaller harvest caused by drought.
Supply disruption from the Black Sea conflict has lifted world prices for oilseeds and meal, and Argentina's export dominance means its harvest size and export pace directly influence meal and oil prices.
straitstimes.comMay 7, 2022After 34 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +3.5%), and +1.2% over 20.
After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 72 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +2.5%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
