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Ukraine and Russia generate most of the world's sunflower oil exports, and Ukrainian grain and oilseed exports depend heavily on Black Sea ports now disrupted by the war. Buyers in India, China and the EU are concerned, and French buyers worry about high-protein sunflower meal supply.
Disruption to sunflower oil and meal exports lifts vegoil and protein meal prices, as buyers must turn to soybean and rapeseed meal substitutes.
archyde.comAlexandra Hartman Editor-in-ChiefMar 1, 2022Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, SBO moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 34 past bullish geopolitics events, SBM moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +3.5%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
