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Palm oil has become the most expensive vegetable oil, with its premium over rival oils at a record level. The Ukraine war has halted sunflower oil supplies.
Dealers say the price gap could push price-sensitive consumers in Asia and Africa to cut consumption or switch to soyoil.
Loss of sunflower oil exports from the Black Sea, combined with a record palm premium, pushes buyers toward soyoil and reduces vegetable oil demand, which is a key input for feed fat and meal markets.
reuters.comRajendra JadhavMar 1, 2022After 62 past bullish geopolitics events, Palm Oil moved a median +2.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.1% to +5.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Palm became the costliest vegoil as the war halted sunoil supply, showing tight vegoil supply and strong price momentum in palm.
