
Malaysian palm oil futures rallied over 3% on Feb 23 to a record 6,043 ringgit, with the spot contract hitting an all-time high of 6,530 ringgit. Supply worries from the Russia-Ukraine crisis and dry weather in South America drove the gains, and Chicago soyoil also reached record highs.
Sunflower oil supply uncertainty from the Ukraine crisis is pushing buyers toward palm and soyoil, supporting vegetable oil prices and raising feed fat costs.
After 62 past bullish geopolitics events, Palm Oil moved a median +2.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.1% to +5.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Palm hit record highs on Ukraine supply worries and dry South American weather, building momentum before the window.