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Malaysian palm oil futures closed higher on Friday, with the December Bursa Malaysia contract rising 2.94% to 4,305 ringgit a metric ton and recording a weekly gain of 6.27%, the largest since June 2023. The rally followed a widening Middle East conflict that lifted crude oil prices.
Soyoil in Chicago also rose slightly.
Higher crude oil makes palm oil more attractive as a biodiesel feedstock, pulling demand and pushing prices up. Palm also traded at a premium to soyoil and sunflower oil, supporting the wider vegetable oil complex used in feed fats.
brecorder.comReutersOct 4, 2024After 62 past bullish geopolitics events, Palm Oil moved a median +2.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.1% to +5.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Palm posted its largest weekly gain in 16 months (6.27%) as the widening Middle East conflict lifted crude oil, which strengthens palm's biodiesel and energy-linked demand, directly covering most of the move window.
Oct 4 palm surge of 2.94% and a 6.27% weekly gain, the largest since June 2023, on Middle East conflict lifting crude oil, directly matches the 5-day move.
Describes the widening Middle East conflict lifting crude oil during the week of Oct 4, confirming the sustained geopolitical driver, though it is palm-focused and a downstream indicator of the crude move.
