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The FAO reported that global food commodity prices hit unprecedented highs in March 2022, led by vegetable oils and cereals. Its vegetable oil sub-index rose 23.2% to a record 248.6 points, and the headline index averaged 159.3 points, up 12.6% from February.
The FAO attributed the shock to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which disrupted staple grain and vegetable oil markets.
Russia and Ukraine supply roughly 30% of global wheat and are major sunflower oil and maize exporters, so the disruption tightens supplies and lifts prices across feed grains and oilseed-based products. Feed buyers should expect elevated costs for grains and vegetable oils.
just-food.comSimon HarveyApr 8, 2022After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
