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Crude oil futures fell sharply on Nov. 19 as new COVID-19 lockdowns in Europe and a stronger US dollar weighed on the market.
NYMEX December WTI settled down $2.91 at $76.10/b and ICE January Brent settled at $78.89/b. Austria announced a nationwide lockdown starting Nov.
22, and Germany tightened restrictions for unvaccinated citizens.
Lockdowns cut fuel demand expectations and a stronger dollar makes dollar-priced commodities more expensive abroad, both bearish for energy and energy-linked feed costs such as biofuel-driven soybean oil and corn ethanol margins.
spglobal.comChris van MoessnerNov 19, 2021After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly describes the Nov. 19 WTI settlement drop of $2.91 to $76.10 driven by European COVID lockdowns (Austria, Germany) cutting demand expectations and a stronger US dollar.
Same-day report attributes the Brent/WTI selloff to new European COVID lockdowns (Austria, Germany) hurting demand expectations plus a stronger US dollar.
