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The dollar held near a three-month high in Asia as the euro slipped to $1.1590 after euro zone inflation came in above forecasts. Strikes on Iran have disrupted Middle East energy exports, with Iranian attacks closing Gulf navigation and halting production from Qatar to Iraq.
Brent gained 1.9% to $82.94 per barrel.
Closed Gulf navigation removes a major share of seaborne oil and LNG, lifting energy costs for importers and fertilizer prices for grain producers. A stronger dollar also raises the local-currency cost of dollar-priced feed imports.
marketscreener.comReutersMar 4, 2026After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 36 past bearish geopolitics events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -1.8% to -0.3%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 136 past bullish geopolitics events, Natural Gas moved a median +2.7% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -1.8% to +8.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
