The U.S. Dollar Index rose 1% to 98.80 on March 4, 2022, its highest level since May 2020, as the deepening Russia-Ukraine conflict drove safe-haven buying. The euro fell 1.4% to its lowest level against the dollar since that same period.
A sharp dollar rally makes U.S. feed grains and meals more expensive for foreign buyers and tends to pressure dollar-denominated commodity prices. European currency weakness also raises the local-currency cost of imported feed inputs.
After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 36 past bearish geopolitics events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -1.8% to -0.3%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Dollar index rose 1% on March 4 to the highest since 2020 as the Ukraine conflict deepened and the euro fell, contributing to the window's gain.